{"case":{"id":"OS-0028","title":"A star in Sagittarius brightened briefly in March 2022 while OGLE was paused: a short microlensing candidate","hook":"Found blind in Oddsky hunt H-0008 (NEOWISE x2.2 on 2022 Mar 19). ATLAS shows a sharp, symmetric event peaking on 2022 Mar 25 and lasting about two weeks, the same in optical and infrared. OGLE was paused and the star is outside KMTNet's fields.","status":"reproduced","target":{"name":"Gaia DR3 4070998667212085888","ra":269.1431574054454,"dec":-20.93253611105695,"aliases":[],"gaia_source_id":4070998667212085888},"summary":"","claims":[{"id":"C1","text":"NEOWISE on 2022 Mar 19: x2.22 in W1 and x2.31 in W2, on the rise a few days before the ATLAS peak, matching ATLAS o (x2.25) at that time (hunts/H-0008/reviews/claude-referee-atlas10b-2026-10-31.md).","tag":"observed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:42:40+00:00"},{"id":"C2","text":"ATLAS (task 5273742, four units, both bands) shows one event in 2015-2026: t0 2022 Mar 25.0 +- 0.5 d, tE about 10-14 d, u0 0.08-0.15, source flux share about 1 in ATLAS c, o and NEOWISE W1, W2. The peak fell in a 4-day gap, so the maximum (x7-14) was not observed. A static lens beats a free symmetric bump by delta chi2 16-23.","tag":"computed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:42:40+00:00"},{"id":"C3","text":"OGLE was paused from 2020 Mar 18 to 2022 Aug 12; the star is in an OGLE-IV field but just outside KMTNet's BLG38. Gaia passed on 2022 Mar 25 00:11 UT, at the peak, without an alert; only DR5 will show it.","tag":"observed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:42:40+00:00"},{"id":"C4","text":"Not in TNS, the Gaia alerts, the KMTNet, OGLE or ZTF lists, VSX, SIMBAD or a web search. MOA 2022 unchecked.","tag":"observed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:42:40+00:00"}],"hypotheses":[{"id":"H1","klass":"microlensing","statement":"A short microlensing event, tE 10-14 d, peaking 2022 Mar 25 (P 0.75, H-0008 ATLAS referee).","supports":["C1","C2","C3","C4"],"conflicts":[],"would_falsify":"A repeat brightening, or a colour change.","status":"live","confidence":0.75,"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:42:40+00:00"}],"predictions":[],"literature":[],"hunt":"H-0008","featured":false,"created_at":"2026-10-31T19:34:19+00:00"},"series":{"ATLAS:ATLAS_H":{"survey":"ATLAS","band":"ATLAS_H","unit":"mag","n_raw":0,"binned_days":null,"t":[],"mag":[],"err":[],"flagged":{"n":1,"t":[58594.5616],"mag":[15.8387],"why":["atlas_bad"]}},"ATLAS:ATLAS_c":{"survey":"ATLAS","band":"ATLAS_c","unit":"mag","n_raw":953,"binned_days":null,"t":[57241.3203,57242.3848,57243.3145,57243.3283,57243.3436,57243.3727,57244.3171,57244.3309,57244.3464,57244.3752,57245.3077,57245.3235,57245.3398,57245.3676,57304.2502,57308.2417,57317.2105,57481.5428,57481.5521,57481.5661,57481.5759,57514.5561,57514.5694,57514.5822,57514.595,57514.6084,57520.4875,57520.502,57520.5053,57520.5097,57520.5165,57520.5204,57520.5301,57520.5305,57520.5344,57520.5422,57521.5316,57521.5438,57521.5559,57521.5675,57521.5792,57575.3814,57575.3914,57575.3934,57575.4035,57575.4054,57575.4155,57575.4178,57575.4287,57575.431,57575.4419,57576.4161,57576.4295,57576.4427,57577.3843,57577.3964,57577.4093,57577.4224,57577.4356,57601.3297,57601.3392,57601.3413,57601.3505,57601.3524,57601.362,57601.364,57601.374,57601.376,57601.3859,57602.3383,57602.3498,57602.3727,57602.3851,57603.3374,57603.3488,57603.355,57603.3602,57603.3711,57603.3783,57603.3834,57604.3484,57604.3592,57604.3829,57608.3359,57608.3471,57608.3591,57608.3718,57627.2943,57627.3165,57627.3282,57627.3394,57631.3233,57631.3281,57639.2506,57639.2581,57639.2691,57639.2824,57659.2636,57667.2348,57667.2446,57667.2575,57895.5598,57895.5767,57895.5861,57895.5934,57895.6098,57899.551,57899.5678,57899.5841,57899.6008,57899.6177,57903.539,57903.5554,57903.5723,57903.5887,57903.6056,57989.3256,57989.3336,57989.342,57989.3505,58013.263,58013.2714,58013.2742,58013.2793,58013.2826,58013.2877,58013.2905,58013.2984,58017.2792,58017.2861,58021.2375,58021.2454,58021.2533,58021.2611,58193.6023,58193.6124,58193.6156,58193.6227,58197.6013,58197.6164,58197.6237,58225.5459,58225.5536,58225.5623,58225.5687,58257.4904,58257.4991,58257.5,58257.511,58281.4403,58281.4492,58281.4675,58281.4697,58285.4443,58285.4538,58285.4556,58285.4697,58309.4014,58309.4092,58309.417,58309.4248,58333.4011,58333.4085,58333.4169,58333.4248,58337.3436,58337.3514,58337.3593,58337.3671,58341.3355,58341.3429,58341.3442,58341.3507,58341.3521,58341.3585,58341.3599,58341.3677,58401.2251,58401.233,58401.2409,58401.2483,58425.1967,58425.2001,58425.2005,58425.2061,58425.2071,58425.215,58425.216,58425.2249,58573.5904,58573.5968,58573.6056,58573.6097,58577.6238,58577.6251,58577.6265,58577.6408,58605.6057,58605.6158,58605.6261,58609.5237,58609.5246,58609.5314,58609.5378,58609.5392,58609.542,58609.5456,58609.5532,58633.4857,58633.4884,58633.4955,58633.511,58637.4742,58637.4766,58637.4864,58637.4873,58637.4912,58637.4988,58661.4236,58661.4268,58661.4323,58661.4456,58665.3932,58665.3965,58665.4029,58665.4214,58669.4565,58669.4606,58669.4661,58669.478,58670.2489,58670.255,58670.2731,58671.4151,58671.4184,58671.4249,58671.4383,58693.3413,58693.3423,58693.346,58693.3561,58721.2623,58721.2676,58721.271,58721.283,58725.3141,58725.3174,58725.3227,58725.3354,58753.2239,58753.2266,58753.2327,58753.2451,58757.2704,58757.2733,58757.2946,58757.2999,58773.2322,58773.236,58773.2434,58781.22,58781.2228,58781.2289,58781.2388,58961.5533,58961.5565,58961.5627,58961.573,58969.4862,58969.4936,58969.5159,58969.5189,58989.4793,58989.4811,58989.4839,58989.5092,58993.5499,58993.5532,58993.5586,58993.5692,58997.4628,58997.467,58997.4734,58997.4789,59016.4338,59016.437,59016.4475,59016.4549,59017.3875,59017.3907,59017.3962,59017.4079,59021.4033,59021.4088,59021.4176,59021.4208,59049.4162,59049.4194,59049.4269,59049.4376,59053.376,59053.3797,59053.3861,59053.3962,59070.3243,59070.3405,59070.3492,59070.3548,59073.3329,59073.3357,59073.3412,59073.3531,59077.3285,59077.3317,59077.3386,59077.351,59101.2702,59101.2734,59101.279,59101.2905,59105.2522,59105.2554,59105.2615,59105.2739,59113.2435,59113.2467,59113.2522,59113.2641,59133.2183,59133.2224,59133.2298,59133.2422,59255.6412,59255.65,59255.6619,59255.6693,59311.5491,59311.5546,59311.5588,59311.5733,59315.5284,59315.5321,59315.5385,59315.5517,59319.4884,59319.4985,59319.5082,59319.5137,59323.5214,59323.5247,59323.5302,59323.5404,59349.5335,59349.5652,59349.5684,59349.574,59353.493,59353.4953,59353.4998,59353.5053,59371.443,59371.4453,59371.4481,59371.4546,59375.4293,59375.4311,59375.4348,59375.4399,59379.4694,59379.4728,59379.5082,59379.5367,59405.4754,59405.4833,59409.3756,59409.3788,59409.4103,59409.418,59427.3724,59427.3766,59427.4023,59427.4166,59428.4342,59428.4397,59428.4528,59428.4612,59431.3441,59431.3478,59431.3538,59431.3644,59435.3417,59435.345,59435.3519,59435.362,59439.3393,59457.2916,59457.2948,59457.3008,59457.3113,59461.2685,59461.2717,59461.2777,59461.2887,59465.2615,59465.2652,59465.2707,59465.2813,59473.2902,59473.2934,59667.0722,59667.0759,59667.0828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Gaia TAP gaiadr3.gaia_source","query":{"adql":"SELECT source_id, ra, dec, parallax, parallax_over_error, pmra, pmdec, ruwe, phot_g_mean_mag, phot_bp_mean_mag, phot_rp_mean_mag, bp_rp, phot_variable_flag, teff_gspphot, distance_gspphot, non_single_star, DISTANCE(POINT(269.1431574054454,-20.93253611105695), POINT(ra,dec))*3600 AS sep_arcsec FROM gaiadr3.gaia_source WHERE 1=CONTAINS(POINT(ra,dec), CIRCLE(269.1431574054454,-20.93253611105695,0.008333333333333333)) ORDER BY sep_arcsec"},"retrieved_at":"2026-10-31T19:36:10+00:00","rows_raw":217,"rows_kept":217,"cuts":[],"notes":[],"status":"ok"},"gaia_epoch":{"archive":"ESA Gaia epoch photometry (datalink; DR4 if published, else DR3)","query":{"source_id":4070998667212085888,"release_used":null},"retrieved_at":"2026-10-31T19:41:01+00:00","rows_raw":0,"rows_kept":0,"cuts":[],"notes":["Gaia DR4 request failed (RuntimeError: https://gea.esac.esa.int/data-server/data unavailable after 1 attempts: 500); fell back to the next release","no Gaia 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