{"case":{"id":"OS-0027","title":"A star in Sagittarius brightened 2.6 times in September 2015, equally in Gaia and NEOWISE: a microlensing candidate","hook":"Found blind in Oddsky hunts H-0008/H-0009 (NEOWISE x2.7 on 2015 Sep 15). Gaia DR3 epoch photometry shows x2.6 nine days earlier and twenty days later, equal in G and RP. Gaia's own classifier labels the star MICROLENSING.","status":"reproduced","target":{"name":"Gaia DR3 4143495279954502016","ra":271.00958351919,"dec":-18.31329775461,"aliases":[],"gaia_source_id":4143495279954502016},"summary":"","claims":[{"id":"C1","text":"NEOWISE on 2015 Sep 15: x2.7 in W1 and x2.75 in W2 against the star's median; every other visit quiet.","tag":"observed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:34:18+00:00"},{"id":"C2","text":"Gaia DR3 epoch photometry: G x2.60 at -9 d and x2.57 at +20 d, RP the same (hunts/H-0009/reviews/claude-referee-atlas-2026-10-31.md).","tag":"observed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:34:18+00:00"},{"id":"C3","text":"The Gaia DR3 classifier labels the star MICROLENSING (score 0.26); it is not in the Gaia DR3 microlensing catalogue.","tag":"observed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:34:18+00:00"},{"id":"C4","text":"ATLAS's 2015 images at this position are too blurred (PSF 4 px) to measure the event.","tag":"computed","calls":[],"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:34:18+00:00"}],"hypotheses":[{"id":"H1","klass":"microlensing","statement":"A lens magnified the star about 2.6 times around 2015 September (P 0.60, H-0009 ATLAS referee).","supports":["C1","C2","C3","C4"],"conflicts":[],"would_falsify":"A repeat brightening, or a colour change.","status":"live","confidence":0.6,"author":"claude-opus-5.5","at":"2026-10-31T19:34:18+00:00"}],"predictions":[],"literature":[],"hunt":"H-0009","featured":false,"created_at":"2026-10-31T19:27:03+00:00"},"series":{"ATLAS:ATLAS_H":{"survey":"ATLAS","band":"ATLAS_H","unit":"mag","n_raw":0,"binned_days":null,"t":[],"mag":[],"err":[],"flagged":{"n":1,"t":[58594.572],"mag":[16.3946],"why":["atlas_bad"]}},"ATLAS:ATLAS_c":{"survey":"ATLAS","band":"ATLAS_c","unit":"mag","n_raw":13,"binned_days":null,"t":[57520.4875,57521.5487,58986.527,59323.5404,59380.4203,59791.8579,60140.0699,60436.0433,60448.1441,60818.1888,60851.0894,60964.7729,61318.293],"mag":[19.4367,15.766,16.8812,19.8949,18.0539,20.0398,19.4367,14.9386,15.9214,19.7914,19.0638,16.8999,16.7313],"err":[0.356,0.2719,0.0118,0.2714,0.1544,0.3102,0.356,0.0085,0.3046,0.3455,0.2399,0.0275,0.0575],"flagged":{"n":1141,"t":[57242.3756,57242.3805,57243.3184,57243.3191,57243.329,57243.3311,57243.364,57243.3688,57244.3207,57244.3221,57244.333,57244.3352,57244.3656,57244.3717,57245.313,57245.3249,57245.3271,57245.358,57245.3643,57304.2092,57304.2163,57304.2309,57304.2468,57304.2493,57308.2164,57308.2302,57308.2366,57308.2494,57309.2046,57309.2132,57309.2261,57309.2429,57309.2436,57311.2066,57311.2143,57311.2267,57311.2441,57317.2086,57317.2092,57317.2151,57317.2317,57481.5274,57481.5462,57481.5481,57481.556,57481.5632,57481.5778,57514.5512,57514.5645,57514.566,57514.5773,57514.5793,57514.5902,57514.5921,57514.6035,57514.6049,57514.6183,57520.5053,57520.5165,57520.5305,57520.5344,57521.5243,57521.5358,57521.5477,57521.56,57521.5714,57538.476,57538.4817,57538.4949,57538.5026,57538.5084,57538.5165,57538.5224,57538.5301,57538.5361,57539.4841,57539.498,57539.5122,57539.5258,57539.5398,57540.4625,57540.4772,57540.4911,57540.5053,57540.5192,57544.4538,57544.4681,57544.4821,57544.4963,57548.4555,57548.4695,57548.4835,57548.4975,57548.5115,57575.3864,57575.3984,57575.4107,57575.4232,57575.4364,57576.3847,57576.4238,57576.4372,57577.3793,57577.3913,57577.4038,57577.417,57577.4301,57601.3347,57601.3459,57601.3574,57601.369,57601.381,57602.3336,57602.343,57602.3451,57602.3544,57602.3565,57602.3659,57602.368,57602.3779,57602.3799,57602.3903,57603.355,57603.3665,57603.3783,57604.3416,57604.353,57604.3643,57604.3757,57608.3195,57608.3427,57608.3666,57627.2984,57627.3212,57627.333,57627.3442,57631.3281,57639.2486,57639.2556,57639.2651,57639.2778,57659.2749,57667.2283,57667.2333,57667.242,57667.254,57667.269,57895.5646,57895.5814,57895.5977,57895.6145,57899.5557,57899.5888,57899.6056,57903.5319,57903.5488,57903.5652,57903.5821,57903.5984,57989.3291,57989.3375,57989.346,57989.3545,58013.2742,58013.2826,58013.2905,58013.2984,58017.2792,58017.2861,58021.2505,58021.2583,58021.2662,58021.2736,58193.6023,58193.6124,58193.6138,58193.6142,58193.6156,58193.6213,58193.6227,58193.6287,58197.6182,58197.6215,58225.5541,58225.5628,58225.5646,58225.577,58257.5005,58257.5083,58257.5169,58257.5229,58281.4575,58281.4584,58281.4679,58281.4848,58285.4443,58285.4449,58285.4538,58285.4543,58285.4556,58285.4697,58285.472,58285.4743,58309.4106,58309.4184,58309.4262,58309.4299,58333.4132,58333.4206,58333.4291,58333.4365,58337.3528,58337.3606,58337.3685,58337.3763,58338.4046,58338.4154,58338.4261,58338.4368,58341.3442,58341.3521,58341.3599,58341.3677,58401.2325,58401.2404,58401.2478,58401.2556,58425.2001,58425.2061,58425.215,58425.2249,58429.1946,58429.1993,58429.2069,58429.2167,58430.1984,58430.205,58430.2139,58573.5904,58573.5968,58573.5973,58573.6065,58573.6093,58573.6097,58573.6259,58577.616,58577.6256,58577.6417,58577.6435,58581.6404,58605.6057,58605.6158,58605.6261,58609.5163,58609.5241,58609.5388,58609.5433,58633.4857,58633.4884,58633.4955,58633.511,58637.4878,58637.5001,58637.5029,58637.5152,58661.4346,58661.4382,58661.4451,58661.4561,58665.4083,58665.4111,58665.4255,58665.4315,58669.4565,58669.4606,58669.4661,58669.478,58670.2449,58670.2489,58670.255,58670.2731,58671.4151,58671.4184,58671.4249,58671.4383,58693.3432,58693.3441,58693.3478,58693.3575,58721.3354,58721.3409,58721.3447,58721.3547,58725.3141,58725.3174,58725.3227,58725.3354,58753.2341,58753.2368,58753.2423,58753.252,58757.2713,58757.2747,58757.296,58757.3025,58781.22,58781.2228,58781.2289,58781.2388,58961.5957,58961.5986,58961.6042,58961.6139,58969.5386,58969.5405,58969.5565,58969.5611,58986.5391,58989.477,58989.4797,58989.482,58989.4829,58989.4857,58989.5101,58993.5651,58993.5683,58993.5748,58993.5896,58993.5901,58994.4741,58994.4773,58994.4801,58994.4851,58997.4637,58997.4679,58997.4743,58997.4844,59016.4338,59016.437,59016.4475,59016.4549,59017.3875,59017.3907,59017.3962,59017.4079,59021.4038,59021.4093,59021.418,59021.4212,59049.4212,59049.4264,59049.4306,59049.4441,59053.3843,59053.3875,59053.3939,59053.4054,59070.3243,59070.3405,59070.3492,59070.3548,59073.3329,59073.3357,59073.3412,59073.3531,59074.4235,59074.4263,59074.4336,59074.4435,59077.3308,59077.3336,59077.3396,59077.3543,59101.2702,59101.2734,59101.279,59101.2905,59105.25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